Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts highlight a slow-moving frontal boundary combined with monsoonal moisture and an upper-level trough as the main drivers of precipitation patterns on September 16, 2026, favoring showers and thunderstorms across the Four Corners region, north-central Plains, Missouri Valley, and parts of the Southwest and South Florida. Official outlooks indicate 50-80% probability of measurable rain in areas like Kansas City and Arizona with potential for heavy localized totals, while Florida sees elevated chances from stalled moisture and the Northeast and much of the West face lower odds under drier ridging. Traders monitor real-time radar, NWS station reports, and model consensus for resolution thresholds tied to specific geographic boundaries and daily precipitation totals. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon convective trends remain key variables that could shift localized outcomes before final observations are confirmed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhere will it rain on September 16?
New York, NY
3%
Los Angeles, CA
65%
Chicago, IL
76%
Houston, TX
35%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
47%
Philadelphia, PA
3%
Denver, CO
61%
Washington, DC
3%
Atlanta, GA
2%
Miami, FL
45%
Seattle, WA
3%
Boston, MA
3%
New Orleans, LA
48%
San Francisco, CA
58%
$1,295 Vol.
New York, NY
3%
Los Angeles, CA
65%
Chicago, IL
76%
Houston, TX
35%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
47%
Philadelphia, PA
3%
Denver, CO
61%
Washington, DC
3%
Atlanta, GA
2%
Miami, FL
45%
Seattle, WA
3%
Boston, MA
3%
New Orleans, LA
48%
San Francisco, CA
58%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts highlight a slow-moving frontal boundary combined with monsoonal moisture and an upper-level trough as the main drivers of precipitation patterns on September 16, 2026, favoring showers and thunderstorms across the Four Corners region, north-central Plains, Missouri Valley, and parts of the Southwest and South Florida. Official outlooks indicate 50-80% probability of measurable rain in areas like Kansas City and Arizona with potential for heavy localized totals, while Florida sees elevated chances from stalled moisture and the Northeast and much of the West face lower odds under drier ridging. Traders monitor real-time radar, NWS station reports, and model consensus for resolution thresholds tied to specific geographic boundaries and daily precipitation totals. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon convective trends remain key variables that could shift localized outcomes before final observations are confirmed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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