**Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation.** This consensus aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (47%), 31°C (25%), and 33°C (20%), reflecting the typical mid-September subtropical regime where daytime heating under clear conditions routinely reaches these levels. Recent observations show highs of 31–32°C in the preceding days amid scattered showers that have since cleared, supporting efficient solar insolation. Historical September averages near 31°C provide additional context, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing or cloud cover in the latest model runs limits upside or downside deviations. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak as the diurnal cycle progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
32°C 48%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
30°C 5%
$11,809 Vol.
$11,809 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
26%
32°C
48%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
30°C 5%
$11,809 Vol.
$11,809 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
26%
32°C
48%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from multiple meteorological sources point to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation.** This consensus aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (47%), 31°C (25%), and 33°C (20%), reflecting the typical mid-September subtropical regime where daytime heating under clear conditions routinely reaches these levels. Recent observations show highs of 31–32°C in the preceding days amid scattered showers that have since cleared, supporting efficient solar insolation. Historical September averages near 31°C provide additional context, while the absence of strong synoptic forcing or cloud cover in the latest model runs limits upside or downside deviations. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact peak as the diurnal cycle progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong