Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a mild overnight low for Qingdao on September 19 near 20–23°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–90%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positions the outcome well above the 14°C threshold and below 24°C, though model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty that explains the closely matched 47.5% market-implied odds for the extreme bins. Recent stability in regional pressure gradients and sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea have kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to climatological September averages around 18°C, with any sharper drop requiring a stronger northerly shift or clearer skies not currently favored. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolving the tight consensus around mid-20s values.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
14°C or below 95%
24°C or higher 95%
20°C 40%
17°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
14°C or below
95%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
95%
14°C or below 95%
24°C or higher 95%
20°C 40%
17°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$14 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a mild overnight low for Qingdao on September 19 near 20–23°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–90%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positions the outcome well above the 14°C threshold and below 24°C, though model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty that explains the closely matched 47.5% market-implied odds for the extreme bins. Recent stability in regional pressure gradients and sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea have kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to climatological September averages around 18°C, with any sharper drop requiring a stronger northerly shift or clearer skies not currently favored. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolving the tight consensus around mid-20s values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$14Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a mild overnight low for Qingdao on September 19 near 20–23°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–90%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positions the outcome well above the 14°C threshold and below 24°C, though model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty that explains the closely matched 47.5% market-implied odds for the extreme bins. Recent stability in regional pressure gradients and sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea have kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to climatological September averages around 18°C, with any sharper drop requiring a stronger northerly shift or clearer skies not currently favored. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolving the tight consensus around mid-20s values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a mild overnight low for Qingdao on September 19 near 20–23°C, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 70–90%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This positions the outcome well above the 14°C threshold and below 24°C, though model spread in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing creates uncertainty that explains the closely matched 47.5% market-implied odds for the extreme bins. Recent stability in regional pressure gradients and sea-surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea have kept minimum temperatures elevated relative to climatological September averages around 18°C, with any sharper drop requiring a stronger northerly shift or clearer skies not currently favored. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will be key for resolving the tight consensus around mid-20s values.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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