Persistent easterly flow under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone has maintained dry, stable conditions across southern China, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C in Hong Kong on 19 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus project overnight lows of 26–27 °C with daytime maxima reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions align with the market-implied 51 % probability for a 27 °C low and 34 % for 26 °C, reflecting trader consensus on limited cooling potential absent any frontal passage or increased cloud cover. No significant model divergence or tropical influence is indicated through the period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
27°C 52%
26°C 35%
25°C 26%
29°C 26%
21°C or below
25%
22°C
20%
23°C
22%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
35%
27°C
52%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 52%
26°C 35%
25°C 26%
29°C 26%
21°C or below
25%
22°C
20%
23°C
22%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
35%
27°C
52%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone has maintained dry, stable conditions across southern China, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C in Hong Kong on 19 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus project overnight lows of 26–27 °C with daytime maxima reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions align with the market-implied 51 % probability for a 27 °C low and 34 % for 26 °C, reflecting trader consensus on limited cooling potential absent any frontal passage or increased cloud cover. No significant model divergence or tropical influence is indicated through the period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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