Incoming cold front and shifting southwest winds are the main drivers behind trader positioning around 12–14°C as Buenos Aires’ September 20 minimum. Springtime southerly advection brings cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover limit daytime heating and modulate overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus from GFS and similar systems shows lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, yet faster front passage or clearer intervals could allow greater nocturnal drops toward 12°C or below. Historical September minima average around 10–11°C, but current wind speeds and humidity near 90% reduce the likelihood of extremes. Traders weigh these variables against official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of final overnight observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 20?
12°C 96%
10°C or below 95%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
10°C or below
95%
11°C
19%
12°C
96%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
12°C 96%
10°C or below 95%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
10°C or below
95%
11°C
19%
12°C
96%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold front and shifting southwest winds are the main drivers behind trader positioning around 12–14°C as Buenos Aires’ September 20 minimum. Springtime southerly advection brings cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, while afternoon thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover limit daytime heating and modulate overnight radiative cooling. Model consensus from GFS and similar systems shows lows near 14°C under partly cloudy skies, yet faster front passage or clearer intervals could allow greater nocturnal drops toward 12°C or below. Historical September minima average around 10–11°C, but current wind speeds and humidity near 90% reduce the likelihood of extremes. Traders weigh these variables against official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of final overnight observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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