Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, consistent with late-summer climatological averages of 23–25 °C and the absence of strong warm advection. This alignment of observational trends, ensemble outputs, and typical seasonal patterns underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24 °C (49.5 % implied probability), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, with final high-temperature data expected from official monitoring shortly after the day concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
24°C 50%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
50%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
50%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, consistent with late-summer climatological averages of 23–25 °C and the absence of strong warm advection. This alignment of observational trends, ensemble outputs, and typical seasonal patterns underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24 °C (49.5 % implied probability), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, with final high-temperature data expected from official monitoring shortly after the day concludes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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