Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international centers indicate a daily maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 12, consistent with near-average winter conditions under a mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Typical August highs average 12°C, with recent days recording 12–14°C amid variable frontal activity; current guidance shows modest warming potential from reduced southerly influences and light winds, though showers could cap peaks near 13–15°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 14°C because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around this value, with lower odds for 15°C reflecting only modest upside from clearer conditions and negligible risk of extremes given the seasonal baseline and short-range forecast stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
14°C 55%
15°C 30%
13°C 13%
16°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14°C
55%
15°C
30%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
15°C 30%
13°C 13%
16°C 3%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$423 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$388 Vol.
1%
12°C
$247 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,276 Vol.
13%
14°C
$1,196 Vol.
55%
15°C
$1,655 Vol.
30%
16°C
$287 Vol.
3%
17°C
$425 Vol.
1%
18°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international centers indicate a daily maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 12, consistent with near-average winter conditions under a mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Typical August highs average 12°C, with recent days recording 12–14°C amid variable frontal activity; current guidance shows modest warming potential from reduced southerly influences and light winds, though showers could cap peaks near 13–15°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 14°C because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around this value, with lower odds for 15°C reflecting only modest upside from clearer conditions and negligible risk of extremes given the seasonal baseline and short-range forecast stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,941Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international centers indicate a daily maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 12, consistent with near-average winter conditions under a mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Typical August highs average 12°C, with recent days recording 12–14°C amid variable frontal activity; current guidance shows modest warming potential from reduced southerly influences and light winds, though showers could cap peaks near 13–15°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 14°C because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around this value, with lower odds for 15°C reflecting only modest upside from clearer conditions and negligible risk of extremes given the seasonal baseline and short-range forecast stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,941Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService and international centers indicate a daily maximum of 14°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 12, consistent with near-average winter conditions under a mild northerly flow and limited cloud cover. Typical August highs average 12°C, with recent days recording 12–14°C amid variable frontal activity; current guidance shows modest warming potential from reduced southerly influences and light winds, though showers could cap peaks near 13–15°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 14°C because ensemble consensus clusters tightly around this value, with lower odds for 15°C reflecting only modest upside from clearer conditions and negligible risk of extremes given the seasonal baseline and short-range forecast stability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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