Recent numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) point to a daytime maximum near 18°C in São Paulo on August 10 under a stable high-pressure regime with light winds, increasing cloud cover, and minimal convective activity. This cooler-than-average winter reading reflects a southward shift of the subtropical high and possible weak frontal influence suppressing temperatures below long-term August normals of 23–25°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 18°C, with 17°C (30%) and 19°C (21%) closely trailing, reflecting small but meaningful differences among ensemble members regarding exact cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island’s contribution at the official observing site. Updated model runs and INMET briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 10?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 10?
18°C 38%
17°C 31%
19°C 21%
16°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
9%
17°C
31%
18°C
38%
19°C
21%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 31%
19°C 21%
16°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
14°C or below
$243 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$845 Vol.
9%
17°C
$1,173 Vol.
31%
18°C
$454 Vol.
38%
19°C
$1,303 Vol.
21%
20°C
$498 Vol.
4%
21°C
$743 Vol.
1%
22°C
$224 Vol.
1%
23°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) point to a daytime maximum near 18°C in São Paulo on August 10 under a stable high-pressure regime with light winds, increasing cloud cover, and minimal convective activity. This cooler-than-average winter reading reflects a southward shift of the subtropical high and possible weak frontal influence suppressing temperatures below long-term August normals of 23–25°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 18°C, with 17°C (30%) and 19°C (21%) closely trailing, reflecting small but meaningful differences among ensemble members regarding exact cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island’s contribution at the official observing site. Updated model runs and INMET briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,457Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) point to a daytime maximum near 18°C in São Paulo on August 10 under a stable high-pressure regime with light winds, increasing cloud cover, and minimal convective activity. This cooler-than-average winter reading reflects a southward shift of the subtropical high and possible weak frontal influence suppressing temperatures below long-term August normals of 23–25°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 18°C, with 17°C (30%) and 19°C (21%) closely trailing, reflecting small but meaningful differences among ensemble members regarding exact cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island’s contribution at the official observing site. Updated model runs and INMET briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,457Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) point to a daytime maximum near 18°C in São Paulo on August 10 under a stable high-pressure regime with light winds, increasing cloud cover, and minimal convective activity. This cooler-than-average winter reading reflects a southward shift of the subtropical high and possible weak frontal influence suppressing temperatures below long-term August normals of 23–25°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 18°C, with 17°C (30%) and 19°C (21%) closely trailing, reflecting small but meaningful differences among ensemble members regarding exact cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the urban heat island’s contribution at the official observing site. Updated model runs and INMET briefings expected overnight will likely tighten the range before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong