Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on August 13, driven by ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that should limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. High humidity and convective activity further suppress peak readings, aligning with market-implied odds heavily favoring 29–30°C outcomes. Current conditions of overcast skies and thundershowers through August 11–12 reinforce expectations of modest cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions to 31°C or higher. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders monitoring these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
30°C 43%
29°C 34%
31°C 14%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
34%
30°C
43%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 43%
29°C 34%
31°C 14%
28°C 10%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
34%
30°C
43%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to scattered showers and thunderstorms over Shanghai on August 13, driven by ongoing East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover that should limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. High humidity and convective activity further suppress peak readings, aligning with market-implied odds heavily favoring 29–30°C outcomes. Current conditions of overcast skies and thundershowers through August 11–12 reinforce expectations of modest cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow brief excursions to 31°C or higher. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts for traders monitoring these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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