Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office project a maximum near 41°C for Jeddah on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, supporting the 73.5% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. August climatology in this Red Sea coastal zone features peak seasonal heating from persistent high-pressure systems, with historical daily highs averaging 38–42°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C amid low rainfall and elevated humidity. Recent observational data show no significant cooling trends from regional winds or cloud cover, keeping model consensus stable. Traders price in this typical summer pattern while noting that any late forecast revision could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 15?
40°C or higher 74%
39°C 17%
38°C 6%
37°C 4%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
6%
39°C
17%
40°C or higher
74%
40°C or higher 74%
39°C 17%
38°C 6%
37°C 4%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
6%
39°C
17%
40°C or higher
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office project a maximum near 41°C for Jeddah on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, supporting the 73.5% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. August climatology in this Red Sea coastal zone features peak seasonal heating from persistent high-pressure systems, with historical daily highs averaging 38–42°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C amid low rainfall and elevated humidity. Recent observational data show no significant cooling trends from regional winds or cloud cover, keeping model consensus stable. Traders price in this typical summer pattern while noting that any late forecast revision could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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