Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Istanbul highs stabilizing near 28°C through mid-August 2026, with August 16 projected at 28°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes often cap daytime maxima below inland norms despite peak solar radiation. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C as leading outcomes reflects model agreement on potential cloud cover or slightly stronger onshore flow moderating peaks, alongside historical August averages of 27–28°C. Upcoming official updates from Turkish meteorological agencies and refined European or GFS model runs will likely influence shifts, as small changes in cloud timing or wind strength can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C near resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 47%
27°C 26%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
47%
27°C
26%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 47%
27°C 26%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
47%
27°C
26%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Istanbul highs stabilizing near 28°C through mid-August 2026, with August 16 projected at 28°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes often cap daytime maxima below inland norms despite peak solar radiation. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C as leading outcomes reflects model agreement on potential cloud cover or slightly stronger onshore flow moderating peaks, alongside historical August averages of 27–28°C. Upcoming official updates from Turkish meteorological agencies and refined European or GFS model runs will likely influence shifts, as small changes in cloud timing or wind strength can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C near resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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