Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs position 38–39°C as the most probable peak temperature in Paris on August 14 under a persistent heat dome featuring high pressure, weak winds, and clear skies that promote strong daytime solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 30s, with only modest upside risk to 40°C if boundary-layer mixing stays suppressed amid the broader European heatwave. Official forecasts issued in the past 24 hours have remained stable, anchoring trader consensus on these outcomes while reflecting climatological precedent for mid-August maxima in the region.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 14?
39°C 66%
38°C 21%
40°C 11%
37°C 3%
BAGO
$15,470 Vol.
BAGO
$15,470 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
3%
38°C
21%
39°C
66%
40°C
11%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 66%
38°C 21%
40°C 11%
37°C 3%
BAGO
$15,470 Vol.
BAGO
$15,470 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
$1,339 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,107 Vol.
1%
37°C
$1,931 Vol.
3%
38°C
$2,295 Vol.
21%
39°C
$4,102 Vol.
66%
40°C
$1,207 Vol.
11%
41°C
$1,095 Vol.
2%
42°C
$883 Vol.
1%
43°C
$508 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$447 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs position 38–39°C as the most probable peak temperature in Paris on August 14 under a persistent heat dome featuring high pressure, weak winds, and clear skies that promote strong daytime solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 30s, with only modest upside risk to 40°C if boundary-layer mixing stays suppressed amid the broader European heatwave. Official forecasts issued in the past 24 hours have remained stable, anchoring trader consensus on these outcomes while reflecting climatological precedent for mid-August maxima in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$15,470Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs position 38–39°C as the most probable peak temperature in Paris on August 14 under a persistent heat dome featuring high pressure, weak winds, and clear skies that promote strong daytime solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 30s, with only modest upside risk to 40°C if boundary-layer mixing stays suppressed amid the broader European heatwave. Official forecasts issued in the past 24 hours have remained stable, anchoring trader consensus on these outcomes while reflecting climatological precedent for mid-August maxima in the region.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,470Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs position 38–39°C as the most probable peak temperature in Paris on August 14 under a persistent heat dome featuring high pressure, weak winds, and clear skies that promote strong daytime solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the upper 30s, with only modest upside risk to 40°C if boundary-layer mixing stays suppressed amid the broader European heatwave. Official forecasts issued in the past 24 hours have remained stable, anchoring trader consensus on these outcomes while reflecting climatological precedent for mid-August maxima in the region.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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