Latest short-range model consensus from major centers indicates Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds under persistent high pressure on July 22, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and peak temperatures centered on 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, reflecting typical mid-July continental conditions where dry air and insolation push maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 34 °C if mixing strengthens and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping trader focus on confirmation from the final model runs and official station readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on July 22?
32°C 49%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 4.5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
49%
33°C
37%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 4.5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
12%
32°C
49%
33°C
37%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model consensus from major centers indicates Ankara will experience clear skies and light winds under persistent high pressure on July 22, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and peak temperatures centered on 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes, reflecting typical mid-July continental conditions where dry air and insolation push maxima near the climatological 30–32 °C average. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 34 °C if mixing strengthens and negligible downside below 31 °C absent unexpected cloud cover. No major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping trader focus on confirmation from the final model runs and official station readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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