Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Ankara's September 12 maximum temperature centered near 30–32°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light variable winds, producing the tightly clustered market odds around 29–33°C. Diurnal heating from strong solar insolation at the city's inland elevation, combined with minimal cloud cover and dry air masses, supports efficient daytime warming, while subtle differences in subsidence strength or boundary-layer mixing across model runs account for the spread. Historical September averages near 26–28°C provide context, but current conditions favor values above the climatological norm. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
32°C 56%
31°C 30%
29°C 15%
33°C 13%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
56%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 56%
31°C 30%
29°C 15%
33°C 13%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
56%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show Ankara's September 12 maximum temperature centered near 30–32°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light variable winds, producing the tightly clustered market odds around 29–33°C. Diurnal heating from strong solar insolation at the city's inland elevation, combined with minimal cloud cover and dry air masses, supports efficient daytime warming, while subtle differences in subsidence strength or boundary-layer mixing across model runs account for the spread. Historical September averages near 26–28°C provide context, but current conditions favor values above the climatological norm. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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