Current forecast models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 11 will likely fall in the 14–16°C range under clear skies and light winds, consistent with September climatological averages near 14°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns across central Turkey. These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling but limit further drops absent cold-air advection. The near-even market split between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in precise minimums, as model runs can vary by 2–3°C depending on boundary-layer assumptions and local terrain effects. Updated Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and next ensemble runs will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Ankara on September 11?
19°C or higher 88%
9°C or below 76%
14°C 40%
17°C 38%
9°C or below
76%
10°C
16%
11°C
21%
12°C
23%
13°C
31%
14°C
40%
15°C
23%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
22%
19°C or higher
88%
19°C or higher 88%
9°C or below 76%
14°C 40%
17°C 38%
9°C or below
76%
10°C
16%
11°C
21%
12°C
23%
13°C
31%
14°C
40%
15°C
23%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
22%
19°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Ankara's minimum temperature on September 11 will likely fall in the 14–16°C range under clear skies and light winds, consistent with September climatological averages near 14°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns across central Turkey. These conditions promote strong nighttime radiative cooling but limit further drops absent cold-air advection. The near-even market split between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflects remaining uncertainty in precise minimums, as model runs can vary by 2–3°C depending on boundary-layer assumptions and local terrain effects. Updated Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and next ensemble runs will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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