Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cool, unsettled pattern over Chicago with showers likely on August 2, supporting highs near 73°F amid east-southeast winds and lake influence. This deviates from the 1991–2020 normal of 83.8°F due to persistent cloud cover and moisture that limits diurnal heating. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer setups with northeast flow point to mid-70s maxima, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 74–77°F range as the most probable outcome while leaving room for minor upward revisions if clearing occurs faster than expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 9%
$10,213 Vol.
$10,213 Vol.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 9%
$10,213 Vol.
$10,213 Vol.
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cool, unsettled pattern over Chicago with showers likely on August 2, supporting highs near 73°F amid east-southeast winds and lake influence. This deviates from the 1991–2020 normal of 83.8°F due to persistent cloud cover and moisture that limits diurnal heating. Model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer setups with northeast flow point to mid-70s maxima, aligning with market-implied odds favoring the 74–77°F range as the most probable outcome while leaving room for minor upward revisions if clearing occurs faster than expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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