Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus favor a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 25°C in the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limit further warming, while historical August climatology shows average highs near 29°C with day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution around these values, though afternoon sea-breeze timing and localized convection could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
27°C 47%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
29°C 6%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 26%
26°C 24%
29°C 6%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus favor a daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on August 21, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating the urban heat island effect under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 25°C in the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara limit further warming, while historical August climatology shows average highs near 29°C with day-to-day variability of ±2–3°C. Recent model runs have tightened the distribution around these values, though afternoon sea-breeze timing and localized convection could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong