Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 3?
Highest temperature in London on August 3?
30°C 34%
31°C 31%
29°C 18%
32°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
31%
32°C
12%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 31%
29°C 18%
32°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 3, 2026
25°C or below
$108 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$293 Vol.
1%
27°C
$441 Vol.
1%
28°C
$219 Vol.
6%
29°C
$309 Vol.
18%
30°C
$608 Vol.
34%
31°C
$364 Vol.
31%
32°C
$65 Vol.
12%
33°C
$2,182 Vol.
7%
34°C
$50 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,873Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,873Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s August 3 maximum temperature near the 30–31 °C threshold, with the two outcomes commanding nearly identical market-implied odds. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is expected to suppress cloud cover and enhance daytime solar heating across southeast England, while urban heat-island effects in central London could add 1–2 °C locally. Model spread remains modest but centers on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the precise arrival of a weak Atlantic front late in the day. Historical August maxima for the city average 22–24 °C, so current guidance represents a significant positive anomaly. Traders will closely monitor the next high-resolution runs and verification against automatic weather stations before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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