Active southwest monsoon conditions across northern India, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thundershowers, are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 31–32 °C on August 23. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and multiple model runs (including GFS and ECMWF) indicate mostly cloudy skies and 80–100 % rain probability, which limits solar insolation and prevents the higher readings typical of drier August days. Recent regional rainfall surpluses have reinforced this pattern, keeping observed highs 1–3 °C below seasonal averages. Trader consensus reflected in the 31 °C (44 %) and 32 °C (27 %) contracts aligns with this forecast cluster, while the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or above accounts for possible brief clearing that could allow modest warming before renewed convective activity. Updated model guidance and IMD briefings expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 23?
31°C 41%
32°C 28%
33°C 16%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
28%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 28%
33°C 16%
30°C 13%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
28%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions across northern India, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thundershowers, are the dominant factors capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 31–32 °C on August 23. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and multiple model runs (including GFS and ECMWF) indicate mostly cloudy skies and 80–100 % rain probability, which limits solar insolation and prevents the higher readings typical of drier August days. Recent regional rainfall surpluses have reinforced this pattern, keeping observed highs 1–3 °C below seasonal averages. Trader consensus reflected in the 31 °C (44 %) and 32 °C (27 %) contracts aligns with this forecast cluster, while the modest probability assigned to 33 °C or above accounts for possible brief clearing that could allow modest warming before renewed convective activity. Updated model guidance and IMD briefings expected over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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