**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 17?
23°C 99.9%
25°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$27,203 Vol.
$27,203 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.9%
25°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$27,203 Vol.
$27,203 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,637 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,067 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,511 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,194 Vol.
100%
24°C
$2,615 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,229 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,429 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$632 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$27,203Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,203Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The near-certain 99.9% market-implied probability for a 23°C high in Mexico City on June 17 reflects official observational data from the Benito Juárez International Airport station, the resolution source for this market.** June climatology places typical daily maxima around 23–25°C (73–77°F) amid the early rainy season, with high pressure and moderate humidity limiting convective cooling or strong warming. Recent model guidance and surface observations aligned closely with this baseline, showing no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 24°C or above. A modest diurnal range and afternoon cloud development further supported the 23°C peak. Only an unexpected station calibration error or localized microclimate anomaly could realistically alter the recorded value, scenarios traders have assigned negligible probability given consistent multi-source verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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