Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies indicate mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and dry conditions across southern Germany, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C in Munich on September 29. Late-September solar insolation combined with a stable high-pressure ridge has allowed temperatures to exceed the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.5 °C, while remaining well below the 27 °C record set in 2023. Model consensus across GFS and regional runs shows limited spread around this range, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk during peak heating hours. Market-implied odds heavily favoring 25 °C reflect traders’ assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and real-time surface observations confirming the trajectory toward that threshold.