Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on July 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 22?
27°C 37%
26°C 35%
28°C 14%
25°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
35%
27°C
37%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 35%
28°C 14%
25°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 22, 2026
20°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$883 Vol.
1%
24°C
$540 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,621 Vol.
11%
26°C
$2,025 Vol.
35%
27°C
$1,015 Vol.
37%
28°C
$1,196 Vol.
14%
29°C
$521 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$741 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,048Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,048Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a building high-pressure ridge over western Europe, with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near seasonal norms for late July in Paris. This setup favors 26–28°C as the most probable peak on the 22nd, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer mixing depth, which could add or subtract 1–2°C, and any subtle Atlantic moisture advection that might cap temperatures below 27°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, but afternoon observations from nearby stations and updated 12z model runs on the 21st will likely tighten the distribution before resolution. Historical July maxima average ~25°C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-average but not extreme conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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