Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles points to daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A building subtropical ridge has replaced earlier frontal passages, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and warm advection that favors modest warming above the month’s climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture show limited day-to-day variability, though any late adjustment in ridge strength or residual moisture could shift the exact peak by 1 °C. Updated model runs and official INMET briefings through the morning of the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
30°C 51%
29°C 29%
31°C 18%
28°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
29%
30°C
51%
31°C
18%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 51%
29°C 29%
31°C 18%
28°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$189 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$425 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,389 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,230 Vol.
29%
30°C
$806 Vol.
51%
31°C
$823 Vol.
18%
32°C
$165 Vol.
3%
33°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$657 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles points to daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A building subtropical ridge has replaced earlier frontal passages, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and warm advection that favors modest warming above the month’s climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture show limited day-to-day variability, though any late adjustment in ridge strength or residual moisture could shift the exact peak by 1 °C. Updated model runs and official INMET briefings through the morning of the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$7,190Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles points to daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A building subtropical ridge has replaced earlier frontal passages, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and warm advection that favors modest warming above the month’s climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture show limited day-to-day variability, though any late adjustment in ridge strength or residual moisture could shift the exact peak by 1 °C. Updated model runs and official INMET briefings through the morning of the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,190Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles points to daytime maxima near 29–30 °C in São Paulo on August 13, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. A building subtropical ridge has replaced earlier frontal passages, promoting subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and warm advection that favors modest warming above the month’s climatological average of 23–25 °C. Forecast spreads remain narrow because steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture show limited day-to-day variability, though any late adjustment in ridge strength or residual moisture could shift the exact peak by 1 °C. Updated model runs and official INMET briefings through the morning of the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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