Latest ensemble forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global models show a maximum temperature for São Paulo on August 22 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by a cooler air mass and increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating under subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 22°C (36%), 21°C (29%), and 23°C (24.5%), where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of cloud development create genuine uncertainty. August climatology places average highs near 24°C, but current steering patterns favor slightly below-normal values. Final INMET station readings at 18:00 local time will resolve the outcome, with model updates overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 24%
24°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
36%
23°C
24%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 36%
21°C 29%
23°C 24%
24°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$15 Vol.
3%
20°C
$5 Vol.
5%
21°C
$228 Vol.
29%
22°C
$429 Vol.
36%
23°C
$19 Vol.
24%
24°C
$2 Vol.
9%
25°C
$6 Vol.
5%
26°C
$25 Vol.
1%
27°C
$25 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global models show a maximum temperature for São Paulo on August 22 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by a cooler air mass and increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating under subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 22°C (36%), 21°C (29%), and 23°C (24.5%), where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of cloud development create genuine uncertainty. August climatology places average highs near 24°C, but current steering patterns favor slightly below-normal values. Final INMET station readings at 18:00 local time will resolve the outcome, with model updates overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$778Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global models show a maximum temperature for São Paulo on August 22 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by a cooler air mass and increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating under subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 22°C (36%), 21°C (29%), and 23°C (24.5%), where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of cloud development create genuine uncertainty. August climatology places average highs near 24°C, but current steering patterns favor slightly below-normal values. Final INMET station readings at 18:00 local time will resolve the outcome, with model updates overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$778Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global models show a maximum temperature for São Paulo on August 22 most likely between 21–23°C, driven by a cooler air mass and increasing afternoon cloud cover that limits surface heating under subtropical high pressure. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 22°C (36%), 21°C (29%), and 23°C (24.5%), where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of cloud development create genuine uncertainty. August climatology places average highs near 24°C, but current steering patterns favor slightly below-normal values. Final INMET station readings at 18:00 local time will resolve the outcome, with model updates overnight potentially shifting probabilities among the leading bins.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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