Recent forecasts from models and INMET guidance indicate an extratropical cold front advecting polar maritime air into southeastern Brazil, driving the leading 4°C-or-below outcome at 47% implied probability. Clear skies expected overnight on August 21–22 will enhance radiative cooling, with minimum temperatures in São Paulo sensitive to boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than climatological August lows near 11–13°C, though ensemble spread remains notable around the 4–6°C threshold. Updated official briefings and satellite observations of the frontal passage on August 21 represent the next key data points that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
4°C or below 86%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
5°C 47%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
86%
5°C
47%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
30%
12°C
33%
13°C
26%
14°C or higher
27%
4°C or below 86%
6°C 49%
7°C 49%
5°C 47%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
$25 Vol.
86%
5°C
$25 Vol.
47%
6°C
$25 Vol.
49%
7°C
$25 Vol.
49%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and INMET guidance indicate an extratropical cold front advecting polar maritime air into southeastern Brazil, driving the leading 4°C-or-below outcome at 47% implied probability. Clear skies expected overnight on August 21–22 will enhance radiative cooling, with minimum temperatures in São Paulo sensitive to boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than climatological August lows near 11–13°C, though ensemble spread remains notable around the 4–6°C threshold. Updated official briefings and satellite observations of the frontal passage on August 21 represent the next key data points that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$100Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and INMET guidance indicate an extratropical cold front advecting polar maritime air into southeastern Brazil, driving the leading 4°C-or-below outcome at 47% implied probability. Clear skies expected overnight on August 21–22 will enhance radiative cooling, with minimum temperatures in São Paulo sensitive to boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than climatological August lows near 11–13°C, though ensemble spread remains notable around the 4–6°C threshold. Updated official briefings and satellite observations of the frontal passage on August 21 represent the next key data points that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and INMET guidance indicate an extratropical cold front advecting polar maritime air into southeastern Brazil, driving the leading 4°C-or-below outcome at 47% implied probability. Clear skies expected overnight on August 21–22 will enhance radiative cooling, with minimum temperatures in São Paulo sensitive to boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than climatological August lows near 11–13°C, though ensemble spread remains notable around the 4–6°C threshold. Updated official briefings and satellite observations of the frontal passage on August 21 represent the next key data points that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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