Recent forecast models from sources like Open-Meteo and national meteorological services point to a stable high of 23–24°C in Shanghai on October 2 under overcast skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 24°C. This reflects the typical early-autumn pattern of moderating temperatures and reduced solar heating amid increasing cloud cover from a passing frontal system, with minimal precipitation expected. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders appear to incorporate historical October averages near 23–24°C and the absence of stronger warming mechanisms, while awaiting any late-hour observational updates or refined ensemble runs for final resolution.