Recent numerical weather prediction models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles show Taipei poised for peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on July 20, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This positions 35–36°C as the market-implied frontrunners, reflecting the narrow spread between typical July climatology (near 33°C) and days when reduced cloud cover or delayed thunderstorms allow readings to climb 2–3°C higher. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of sea-breeze onset, precipitable water content modulating insolation, and boundary-layer mixing; fresher model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.