Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models point to afternoon highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on July 4, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated urban heat-island effects, and typical diurnal convection with afternoon showers introduce variability that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and coverage. Recent weeks of above-average warmth across northern Taiwan reinforce trader expectations for values near the upper end of climatological norms (32–33°C), while model spread on precipitation leaves room for 36°C if skies clear earlier. New forecast updates and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on July 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 4?
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 18%
33°C 13%
BAGO
$13,671 Vol.
BAGO
$13,671 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
13%
34°C
30%
35°C
32%
36°C
18%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 18%
33°C 13%
BAGO
$13,671 Vol.
BAGO
$13,671 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
28°C or below
$566 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$530 Vol.
1%
31°C
$267 Vol.
1%
32°C
$247 Vol.
2%
33°C
$296 Vol.
13%
34°C
$1,556 Vol.
30%
35°C
$5,194 Vol.
32%
36°C
$2,519 Vol.
18%
37°C
$535 Vol.
7%
38°C or higher
$895 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models point to afternoon highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on July 4, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated urban heat-island effects, and typical diurnal convection with afternoon showers introduce variability that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and coverage. Recent weeks of above-average warmth across northern Taiwan reinforce trader expectations for values near the upper end of climatological norms (32–33°C), while model spread on precipitation leaves room for 36°C if skies clear earlier. New forecast updates and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$13,671Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models point to afternoon highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on July 4, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated urban heat-island effects, and typical diurnal convection with afternoon showers introduce variability that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and coverage. Recent weeks of above-average warmth across northern Taiwan reinforce trader expectations for values near the upper end of climatological norms (32–33°C), while model spread on precipitation leaves room for 36°C if skies clear earlier. New forecast updates and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,671Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and ensemble models point to afternoon highs of 34–35°C in Taipei on July 4, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated urban heat-island effects, and typical diurnal convection with afternoon showers introduce variability that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing and coverage. Recent weeks of above-average warmth across northern Taiwan reinforce trader expectations for values near the upper end of climatological norms (32–33°C), while model spread on precipitation leaves room for 36°C if skies clear earlier. New forecast updates and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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