Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate stable high pressure and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean will sustain daytime highs near 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 12. Northwest winds and low humidity support efficient heating during peak afternoon hours, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while remaining slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 29°C. No major model divergence or incoming frontal systems appear in the 48-hour window, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 32°C leading as the resolution threshold most consistent with current observational trends and short-range guidance. Updated model outputs through September 11 will provide the final refinement ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
32°C 67%
31°C 27%
33°C 7%
30°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
27%
32°C
67%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 67%
31°C 27%
33°C 7%
30°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
27%
32°C
67%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate stable high pressure and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean will sustain daytime highs near 30–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 12. Northwest winds and low humidity support efficient heating during peak afternoon hours, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while remaining slightly above the long-term average high of roughly 29°C. No major model divergence or incoming frontal systems appear in the 48-hour window, keeping the distribution tightly clustered. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 32°C leading as the resolution threshold most consistent with current observational trends and short-range guidance. Updated model outputs through September 11 will provide the final refinement ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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