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Politika·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Politika·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Georgia Gould 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Adam Harrison 9%

Sarah Hayward 9%

Polymarket
BAGO

Georgia Gould 24%

Sagal Abdi-Wali 24%

Adam Harrison 9%

Sarah Hayward 9%

Polymarket
BAGO
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Georgia Gould

$60 Vol.

24%

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$118 Vol.

24%

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Adam Harrison

$60 Vol.

9%

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Sarah Hayward

$60 Vol.

9%

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Lorna Jane Russell

$60 Vol.

8%

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Pat Callaghan

$60 Vol.

6%

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Hamza Chowdhury

$80 Vol.

24%

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Luisa Porritt

$60 Vol.

6%

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James White

$60 Vol.

6%

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Keith Moffitt

$60 Vol.

6%

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Richard Olszewski

$60 Vol.

5%

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David Roberts

$60 Vol.

5%

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Oliver Cooper

$60 Vol.

5%

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Tricia Leman

$60 Vol.

5%

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David Stansell

$60 Vol.

4%

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Sarah Pochin

$60 Vol.

3%

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Jim Monahan

$60 Vol.

3%

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Mehreen Malik

$60 Vol.

25%

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Charlie Clinton

$60 Vol.

1%

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Zack Polanski

$604 Vol.

50%

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Siân Berry

$47 Vol.

28%

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Gio Spinella

$60 Vol.

29%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation as MP for the safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras has triggered an unscheduled by-election whose timing remains unclear pending the writ. With Labour’s candidate selection process only just opening and no nominees yet confirmed, trader pricing on Polymarket fragments across dozens of potential Labour figures, Green leader Zack Polanski, independents, and others. Local results showing Green strength in the 2026 Camden elections and the 18.9% independent share from 2024 keep multiple outcomes competitive. The absence of a confirmed field, the constituency’s progressive profile, and the risk of vote splitting among challengers sustain tight implied probabilities until nominations close and clearer signals emerge on frontrunners and turnout dynamics.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 22 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Zack Polanski" sa 50%, sinusundan ng "Gio Spinella" sa 29%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 50¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 1, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 22 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay "Zack Polanski" sa 50%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 50% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Gio Spinella" sa 29%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.