Overwhelming scientific consensus from astronomy, physics, and geology continues to anchor trader sentiment around a decisive "No" outcome for the flat Earth question, reflected in the 97.3% market-implied probability. Decades of satellite imagery, orbital observations, and precise measurements of Earth's curvature have cemented the spherical model in public understanding, with no credible recent developments challenging that foundation. Cultural narratives around conspiracy theories persist in niche online communities but lack mainstream traction or new evidence that could shift broader perception. While an upset would require an unprecedented revelation overturning established science—something with no realistic timeline or supporting data—the market's near-certainty aligns with the enduring weight of verifiable facts over fringe speculation.