Skip to main content
icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Politika·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

icon for Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Politika·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$435,015 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$435,015 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$148,423 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$435,015
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$435,015
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by September 30, 2026?

43%
icon for Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?

7%
icon for Kash Patel out by December 31?

Kash Patel out by December 31?

25%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31" sa 20%, sinusundan ng "May 30" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 20¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 20% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" ay naka-generate ng $435K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" ay "December 31" sa 20%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 20% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "May 30" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.