Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
74-75°F 93%
72-73°F 6%
71°F or below 4%
76-77°F <1%
$2,576 Vol.
$2,576 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
93%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 93%
72-73°F 6%
71°F or below 4%
76-77°F <1%
$2,576 Vol.
$2,576 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$41 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$84 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$234 Vol.
93%
76-77°F
$335 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$858 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$165 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$399 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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