Trader consensus shows tightly clustered implied probabilities around 9–12°C for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 22, driven by ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models. Primary factors include the strength and timing of an approaching cold front, clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, and southeasterly wind patterns that moderate minimums over the Cape Peninsula. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime lows near 10°C, but small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Official minimums reported by the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 22?
11°C 32%
7°C 31%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
31%
8°C
21%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
32%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
6%
15°C
7%
16°C or higher
2%
11°C 32%
7°C 31%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$80 Vol.
2%
7°C
$37 Vol.
31%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
31%
11°C
$0 Vol.
32%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$34 Vol.
6%
15°C
$25 Vol.
7%
16°C or higher
$25 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tightly clustered implied probabilities around 9–12°C for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 22, driven by ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models. Primary factors include the strength and timing of an approaching cold front, clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, and southeasterly wind patterns that moderate minimums over the Cape Peninsula. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime lows near 10°C, but small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Official minimums reported by the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$201Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tightly clustered implied probabilities around 9–12°C for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 22, driven by ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models. Primary factors include the strength and timing of an approaching cold front, clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, and southeasterly wind patterns that moderate minimums over the Cape Peninsula. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime lows near 10°C, but small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Official minimums reported by the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$201Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tightly clustered implied probabilities around 9–12°C for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 22, driven by ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models. Primary factors include the strength and timing of an approaching cold front, clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, and southeasterly wind patterns that moderate minimums over the Cape Peninsula. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime lows near 10°C, but small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Official minimums reported by the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong