Trader consensus assigns a 99.5% implied probability to the lowest temperature in Jinan on September 3 reaching 12°C or below, driven by current forecast guidance showing strong nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies and northerly flow. Official model consensus highlights falling dew points and light winds that favor rapid temperature drops after sunset, consistent with September climatology when early-autumn cold surges can produce outliers well below the 18–20°C seasonal norm. Key resolution thresholds center on the official minimum recorded by local meteorological stations before midnight. Any unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift to southerly winds, or delayed frontal passage could push readings several degrees higher and materially affect the outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Jinan on September 3?
12°C or below 99.6%
17°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 99.6%
17°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99.5% implied probability to the lowest temperature in Jinan on September 3 reaching 12°C or below, driven by current forecast guidance showing strong nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies and northerly flow. Official model consensus highlights falling dew points and light winds that favor rapid temperature drops after sunset, consistent with September climatology when early-autumn cold surges can produce outliers well below the 18–20°C seasonal norm. Key resolution thresholds center on the official minimum recorded by local meteorological stations before midnight. Any unexpected increase in cloud cover, a shift to southerly winds, or delayed frontal passage could push readings several degrees higher and materially affect the outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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