Recent high-pressure conditions over northern Italy have promoted clear skies and efficient radiative cooling overnight in Milan, with numerical weather prediction models from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA consistently projecting a minimum near 10°C for October 12. This aligns with observed trends of mild early-autumn nights under stable anticyclonic flow, where dew points around 9–10°C limit further drops. Trader consensus at 100% for 10°C reflects this model agreement and the proximity to daily resolution, as official station data from Milan Linate or Malpensa will confirm the exact low. A sudden increase in low-level cloud or advection of warmer air could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, though current observations show low probability of such shifts before midnight.