Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 21?
9°C or below 89%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
15°C 34%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
89%
10°C
14%
11°C
14%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
25%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 89%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
15°C 34%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$92 Vol.
89%
10°C
$98 Vol.
14%
11°C
$92 Vol.
14%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$16 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$615Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$615Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and guidance from agencies like the Met Office point to a minimum temperature in Munich of 13–14 °C on August 21, driven by widespread cloud cover, heavy thunderstorms, and northwesterly winds that limit daytime heating and promote nocturnal cooling. These conditions align with the historical average low of 13.6 °C and explain why market-implied probabilities cluster around the 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, while the elevated weighting on 9 °C or below captures residual uncertainty from forecast model spread and potential for localized colder pockets during prolonged rain. Traders are monitoring updated runs ahead of the overnight period, when the daily minimum typically occurs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong