Trader sentiment positions the 21°C or below outcome as the clear leader at 48% implied probability, driven by short-term forecasts of enhanced cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and suppressed radiative heating under Singapore’s southwest monsoon regime. Equatorial conditions normally produce August daily minima near 25°C, yet recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights increased moisture influx and possible cross-equatorial surges that could elevate convective activity and lower nighttime temperatures over the next 48 hours. Singapore’s National Environment Agency monitoring and regional analyses note these patterns remain within historical variability for the season, though any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the minimum recorded on the 24th. Fresh forecast updates expected within the day will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
21°C or below 97%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
26°C 36%
21°C or below
97%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 97%
24°C 36%
25°C 36%
26°C 36%
21°C or below
97%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
36%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
36%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment positions the 21°C or below outcome as the clear leader at 48% implied probability, driven by short-term forecasts of enhanced cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and suppressed radiative heating under Singapore’s southwest monsoon regime. Equatorial conditions normally produce August daily minima near 25°C, yet recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights increased moisture influx and possible cross-equatorial surges that could elevate convective activity and lower nighttime temperatures over the next 48 hours. Singapore’s National Environment Agency monitoring and regional analyses note these patterns remain within historical variability for the season, though any shift in steering flow or rainfall timing could alter the minimum recorded on the 24th. Fresh forecast updates expected within the day will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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