Tokyo's late-June climate falls under the influence of the East Asian rainy season (tsuyu), characterized by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and reduced overnight radiative cooling that typically holds minimum temperatures in the 18–23°C range. With the June 27 low now two days out, ensemble models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency show limited spread, centering on 20–23°C amid variable light winds and possible light rain that moderates cooling. The closely bunched market probabilities around 21–24°C reflect this narrow forecast uncertainty, where even modest shifts in cloud thickness or timing of any showers could alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Historical June lows in Tokyo average near 20°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current model consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 27?
22°C 57%
21°C 35.4%
20°C 2.1%
18°C <1%
$12,026 Vol.
$12,026 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
35%
22°C
57%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 57%
21°C 35.4%
20°C 2.1%
18°C <1%
$12,026 Vol.
$12,026 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
35%
22°C
57%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's late-June climate falls under the influence of the East Asian rainy season (tsuyu), characterized by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and reduced overnight radiative cooling that typically holds minimum temperatures in the 18–23°C range. With the June 27 low now two days out, ensemble models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency show limited spread, centering on 20–23°C amid variable light winds and possible light rain that moderates cooling. The closely bunched market probabilities around 21–24°C reflect this narrow forecast uncertainty, where even modest shifts in cloud thickness or timing of any showers could alter the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Historical June lows in Tokyo average near 20°C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current model consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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