Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner
Politika·Alkalde

Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner

Mary Knowles 60%

Adam Barnett 12%

Andrew McCullagh 9%

Wendy Mitchell 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Mary Knowles 60%

Adam Barnett 12%

Andrew McCullagh 9%

Wendy Mitchell 8%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Mary Knowles

Mary Knowles

$502 Vol.

60%

icon for Adam Barnett

Adam Barnett

$69 Vol.

12%

icon for Andrew McCullagh

Andrew McCullagh

$99 Vol.

9%

icon for Wendy Mitchell

Wendy Mitchell

$49 Vol.

8%

icon for Angela Offord

Angela Offord

$49 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Mary Knowles holds the leading position among traders as the incumbent mayor seeking re-election in the October 2026 Northern Midlands Council contest, supported by her long tenure since 2018 and consistent community profile across infrastructure, sustainability, and local services. Challengers including Adam Barnett and Andrew McCullagh trail notably, reflecting historical voting patterns from the 2022 contest where Knowles secured over 56 percent. Lingering effects from the 2024-2025 defamation proceedings involving council funds, which resulted in repayment orders, have not materially shifted consensus despite scrutiny at the December 2025 AGM. With nominations still ahead and no major new polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks, the race remains defined by incumbency advantages and limited differentiation among the field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$767
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Mary Knowles holds the leading position among traders as the incumbent mayor seeking re-election in the October 2026 Northern Midlands Council contest, supported by her long tenure since 2018 and consistent community profile across infrastructure, sustainability, and local services. Challengers including Adam Barnett and Andrew McCullagh trail notably, reflecting historical voting patterns from the 2022 contest where Knowles secured over 56 percent. Lingering effects from the 2024-2025 defamation proceedings involving council funds, which resulted in repayment orders, have not materially shifted consensus despite scrutiny at the December 2025 AGM. With nominations still ahead and no major new polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks, the race remains defined by incumbency advantages and limited differentiation among the field.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$767
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Northern Midlands Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Kaugnay

icon for Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?

Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?

48%
icon for Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

54%
icon for Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?

Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?

42%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mary Knowles" sa 60%, sinusundan ng "Adam Barnett" sa 12%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 60¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 60% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 3, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner" ay "Mary Knowles" sa 60%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 60% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Adam Barnett" sa 12%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.