The OH-07 House race between incumbent Republican Max Miller and Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with small margins across party lines commanding the highest implied probabilities. Miller benefits from incumbency, stronger fundraising, and established name recognition in a district that supported Republican presidential candidates by double digits in prior cycles, while Poindexter draws support as a union ironworker and local councilman amid national midterm dynamics that have shifted several similar seats toward toss-up status. Recent polling averages and forecaster ratings reflect this balance, with no dominant late-cycle event yet separating the contenders. Upcoming factors that could widen the margin include additional polling releases, union or national party spending surges, candidate debates, or shifts in the broader generic ballot environment before the November 3 general election.