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icon for OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

icon for OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

BAGO

$10,135 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$10,135 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for December 31, 2027

December 31, 2027

$7,635 Vol.

8%

icon for December 31, 2028

December 31, 2028

$1,300 Vol.

14%

icon for December 31, 2029

December 31, 2029

$1,200 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s substantial cash reserves of roughly $73 billion following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation in March 2026 continue to anchor trader sentiment against any near-term bankruptcy filing. Despite quarterly cash burn of $3.7 billion and full-year 2025 losses near $39 billion driven by compute and R&D spending, annualized revenue has climbed past $40 billion after recent model releases such as GPT-5.6. CEO Sam Altman’s decision to delay an IPO until 2027 over AI safety concerns, alongside early talks for a $1.2 trillion private round, reinforces market-implied odds that prioritize growth runway and strategic partnerships over solvency risks. Upcoming catalysts include further model updates and regulatory developments on AI alignment that could influence capital access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,135
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2030
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s substantial cash reserves of roughly $73 billion following its record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation in March 2026 continue to anchor trader sentiment against any near-term bankruptcy filing. Despite quarterly cash burn of $3.7 billion and full-year 2025 losses near $39 billion driven by compute and R&D spending, annualized revenue has climbed past $40 billion after recent model releases such as GPT-5.6. CEO Sam Altman’s decision to delay an IPO until 2027 over AI safety concerns, alongside early talks for a $1.2 trillion private round, reinforces market-implied odds that prioritize growth runway and strategic partnerships over solvency risks. Upcoming catalysts include further model updates and regulatory developments on AI alignment that could influence capital access.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,135
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2030
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31, 2029" sa 18%, sinusundan ng "December 31, 2028" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 18¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay naka-generate ng $10.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Sep 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay "December 31, 2029" sa 18%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 18% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "December 31, 2028" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.