Hong Kong Observatory's May 29 seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 calls for above-normal temperatures and normal to below-normal rainfall, driven by current ENSO-neutral conditions and climate model consensus. Historical June averages range 330–456 mm under the influence of the southwest monsoon and early typhoon season, with frequent thunderstorms and localized heavy showers. Early-month observations and short-term guidance show typical convective activity but no strong signals for extremes, leaving market-implied odds tightly clustered in the 375–425 mm bins as traders weigh monsoon variability, steering patterns, and potential tropical cyclone contributions against the official below-normal tilt.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
500mm+ 21%
375-400mm 15%
425-450mm 14%
400-425mm 13%
<350mm
12%
350-375mm
11%
375-400mm
25%
400-425mm
26%
425-450mm
14%
450-475mm
11%
475-500mm
16%
500mm+
21%
500mm+ 21%
375-400mm 15%
425-450mm 14%
400-425mm 13%
<350mm
12%
350-375mm
11%
375-400mm
25%
400-425mm
26%
425-450mm
14%
450-475mm
11%
475-500mm
16%
500mm+
21%
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's May 29 seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 calls for above-normal temperatures and normal to below-normal rainfall, driven by current ENSO-neutral conditions and climate model consensus. Historical June averages range 330–456 mm under the influence of the southwest monsoon and early typhoon season, with frequent thunderstorms and localized heavy showers. Early-month observations and short-term guidance show typical convective activity but no strong signals for extremes, leaving market-implied odds tightly clustered in the 375–425 mm bins as traders weigh monsoon variability, steering patterns, and potential tropical cyclone contributions against the official below-normal tilt.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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