Pamela Evette secured a narrow lead over Alan Wilson in South Carolina’s June 9 Republican primary for governor after neither reached a majority in the open race to succeed term-limited incumbent Henry McMaster. Preliminary results placed the Trump-endorsed lieutenant governor at roughly 29 percent and the attorney general near 26 percent, with the remaining votes split among Reps. Ralph Norman and Nancy Mace plus businessman Rom Reddy. This slim gap in a five-candidate field produced the current trader consensus that Evette’s first-round margin will finish below five points. The June 23 runoff now determines the nominee, yet the first-round outcome is already locked by certified tallies, leaving little room for reversal absent major shifts in final vote counts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSouth Carolina Governor Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Evette <5% 95%
Evette 5–10% 2.1%
Wilson 5%+ 1.0%
Reddy Wins 1.0%
$12,472 Vol.
$12,472 Vol.
Evette 10%+
1%
Evette 5–10%
2%
Evette <5%
95%
Wilson 5%+
1%
Wilson <5%
<1%
Mace Wins
1%
Norman Wins
<1%
Reddy Wins
1%
Evette <5% 95%
Evette 5–10% 2.1%
Wilson 5%+ 1.0%
Reddy Wins 1.0%
$12,472 Vol.
$12,472 Vol.
Evette 10%+
1%
Evette 5–10%
2%
Evette <5%
95%
Wilson 5%+
1%
Wilson <5%
<1%
Mace Wins
1%
Norman Wins
<1%
Reddy Wins
1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Governor Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Governor Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pamela Evette secured a narrow lead over Alan Wilson in South Carolina’s June 9 Republican primary for governor after neither reached a majority in the open race to succeed term-limited incumbent Henry McMaster. Preliminary results placed the Trump-endorsed lieutenant governor at roughly 29 percent and the attorney general near 26 percent, with the remaining votes split among Reps. Ralph Norman and Nancy Mace plus businessman Rom Reddy. This slim gap in a five-candidate field produced the current trader consensus that Evette’s first-round margin will finish below five points. The June 23 runoff now determines the nominee, yet the first-round outcome is already locked by certified tallies, leaving little room for reversal absent major shifts in final vote counts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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