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Politika·Bahay Ng Mga Kinatawan

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

icon for Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Politika·Bahay Ng Mga Kinatawan

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries 80%

Mike Johnson 10.4%

Pete Aguilar 8.7%

Jim Jordan 6.2%

Polymarket
BAGO

Hakeem Jeffries 80%

Mike Johnson 10.4%

Pete Aguilar 8.7%

Jim Jordan 6.2%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$1,377 Vol.

80%

icon for Katherine Clark

Katherine Clark

$55 Vol.

5%

icon for Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

$65 Vol.

9%

icon for Jim Jordan

Jim Jordan

$88 Vol.

6%

icon for Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$65 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic leads in recent generic congressional ballot polls, including Ipsos/Reuters and YouGov/Economist surveys from early May 2026 showing 5- to 6-point advantages, have positioned Hakeem Jeffries as the strong trader favorite to become Speaker if Democrats regain the House majority after the November midterms. This outlook aligns with historical midterm patterns disadvantaging the president's party and structural factors such as more Republican retirements and competitive battleground maps. Jeffries, the current House minority leader, has repeatedly pledged a Democratic takeover and outlined priorities including voting rights legislation. Lower probabilities for Mike Johnson and other Republicans reflect expectations of a narrow Democratic edge, while secondary Democratic names like Pete Aguilar and Katherine Clark trail due to Jeffries's established caucus support. Upcoming primaries and redistricting developments could still shift these dynamics before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,704
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 3, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic leads in recent generic congressional ballot polls, including Ipsos/Reuters and YouGov/Economist surveys from early May 2026 showing 5- to 6-point advantages, have positioned Hakeem Jeffries as the strong trader favorite to become Speaker if Democrats regain the House majority after the November midterms. This outlook aligns with historical midterm patterns disadvantaging the president's party and structural factors such as more Republican retirements and competitive battleground maps. Jeffries, the current House minority leader, has repeatedly pledged a Democratic takeover and outlined priorities including voting rights legislation. Lower probabilities for Mike Johnson and other Republicans reflect expectations of a narrow Democratic edge, while secondary Democratic names like Pete Aguilar and Katherine Clark trail due to Jeffries's established caucus support. Upcoming primaries and redistricting developments could still shift these dynamics before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,704
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 3, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 8, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Hakeem Jeffries" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "Mike Johnson" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 8, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Speaker of the House after the midterms?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay "Hakeem Jeffries" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Mike Johnson" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Speaker of the House after the midterms?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.