Strong tracking estimates and solid midweek holds, including a $20M Tuesday, have positioned the 70-72M range as the clear market favorite for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend, implying a 50-60% drop from its $144M second frame. The film's record-setting $360M opening and $691M domestic total through week two underscore its exceptional audience momentum and legs, outpacing historical benchmarks for superhero sequels while maintaining leadership at the box office. Industry previews peg the frame between $57M-$77M, with recent performance data tilting trader consensus toward the mid-60s over steeper declines. The weekend's final results will serve as the primary catalyst for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 73.1%
72m+ 17.0%
68-70m 10.0%
66-68m 2.9%
$27,671 Vol.
$27,671 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
2%
66-68m
3%
68-70m
18%
70-72m
64%
72m+
17%
70-72m 73.1%
72m+ 17.0%
68-70m 10.0%
66-68m 2.9%
$27,671 Vol.
$27,671 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
$8,668 Vol.
2%
66-68m
$6,982 Vol.
3%
68-70m
$5,609 Vol.
18%
70-72m
$3,119 Vol.
64%
72m+
$3,293 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong tracking estimates and solid midweek holds, including a $20M Tuesday, have positioned the 70-72M range as the clear market favorite for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend, implying a 50-60% drop from its $144M second frame. The film's record-setting $360M opening and $691M domestic total through week two underscore its exceptional audience momentum and legs, outpacing historical benchmarks for superhero sequels while maintaining leadership at the box office. Industry previews peg the frame between $57M-$77M, with recent performance data tilting trader consensus toward the mid-60s over steeper declines. The weekend's final results will serve as the primary catalyst for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$27,671Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong tracking estimates and solid midweek holds, including a $20M Tuesday, have positioned the 70-72M range as the clear market favorite for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend, implying a 50-60% drop from its $144M second frame. The film's record-setting $360M opening and $691M domestic total through week two underscore its exceptional audience momentum and legs, outpacing historical benchmarks for superhero sequels while maintaining leadership at the box office. Industry previews peg the frame between $57M-$77M, with recent performance data tilting trader consensus toward the mid-60s over steeper declines. The weekend's final results will serve as the primary catalyst for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$27,671Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong tracking estimates and solid midweek holds, including a $20M Tuesday, have positioned the 70-72M range as the clear market favorite for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's third weekend, implying a 50-60% drop from its $144M second frame. The film's record-setting $360M opening and $691M domestic total through week two underscore its exceptional audience momentum and legs, outpacing historical benchmarks for superhero sequels while maintaining leadership at the box office. Industry previews peg the frame between $57M-$77M, with recent performance data tilting trader consensus toward the mid-60s over steeper declines. The weekend's final results will serve as the primary catalyst for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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