Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 38.5 percent as of May 15, reflecting sustained public dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and related cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys from late April through mid-May, including those by Reuters/Ipsos, Pew, and Nate Silver's aggregator, show net approval near historic second-term lows amid concerns over inflation, foreign policy outcomes, and broader economic conditions. The tight clustering around 38.5–38.9 in trader consensus captures this steady trend, with few indications of rapid rebound before the measurement date. Late developments such as additional polling releases or sudden shifts in conflict dynamics remain the primary variables that could still alter the final figure.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTrump approval rating on May 15?
Trump approval rating on May 15?
38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,164 Vol.
$26,164 Vol.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
<1%
38.0–38.4
<1%
38.5–38.9
100%
39.0–39.4
<1%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,164 Vol.
$26,164 Vol.
May 15, 2026
<38.0
$3,823 Vol.
<1%
38.0–38.4
$5,043 Vol.
<1%
38.5–38.9
$8,095 Vol.
100%
39.0–39.4
$4,655 Vol.
<1%
39.5–39.9
$2,651 Vol.
<1%
40.0+
$1,897 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 38.5 percent as of May 15, reflecting sustained public dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and related cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys from late April through mid-May, including those by Reuters/Ipsos, Pew, and Nate Silver's aggregator, show net approval near historic second-term lows amid concerns over inflation, foreign policy outcomes, and broader economic conditions. The tight clustering around 38.5–38.9 in trader consensus captures this steady trend, with few indications of rapid rebound before the measurement date. Late developments such as additional polling releases or sudden shifts in conflict dynamics remain the primary variables that could still alter the final figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Volume
$26,164Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 38.5 percent as of May 15, reflecting sustained public dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and related cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys from late April through mid-May, including those by Reuters/Ipsos, Pew, and Nate Silver's aggregator, show net approval near historic second-term lows amid concerns over inflation, foreign policy outcomes, and broader economic conditions. The tight clustering around 38.5–38.9 in trader consensus captures this steady trend, with few indications of rapid rebound before the measurement date. Late developments such as additional polling releases or sudden shifts in conflict dynamics remain the primary variables that could still alter the final figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$26,164Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 38.5 percent as of May 15, reflecting sustained public dissatisfaction with his handling of the Iran conflict and related cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys from late April through mid-May, including those by Reuters/Ipsos, Pew, and Nate Silver's aggregator, show net approval near historic second-term lows amid concerns over inflation, foreign policy outcomes, and broader economic conditions. The tight clustering around 38.5–38.9 in trader consensus captures this steady trend, with few indications of rapid rebound before the measurement date. Late developments such as additional polling releases or sudden shifts in conflict dynamics remain the primary variables that could still alter the final figure.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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