Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, reaching lows around 33-34% in recent August 2026 polling amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February and prompted U.S. strikes. Key pressures include sharply higher gasoline prices, voter dissatisfaction with foreign policy, the economy, and inflation, plus erosion of support among independents, younger voters, and some Republicans. The November 2026 midterms now loom as a potential catalyst, with generic ballot trends and historical patterns suggesting further downside risk if economic conditions or the conflict persist without resolution. Trader focus centers on whether these factors produce new lows before year-end or stabilize near current levels.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$116,743 Vol.
35%
30%
30%
6%
25%
6%
20%
3%
$116,743 Vol.
35%
30%
30%
6%
25%
6%
20%
3%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term, reaching lows around 33-34% in recent August 2026 polling amid the ongoing Iran conflict that began in late February and prompted U.S. strikes. Key pressures include sharply higher gasoline prices, voter dissatisfaction with foreign policy, the economy, and inflation, plus erosion of support among independents, younger voters, and some Republicans. The November 2026 midterms now loom as a potential catalyst, with generic ballot trends and historical patterns suggesting further downside risk if economic conditions or the conflict persist without resolution. Trader focus centers on whether these factors produce new lows before year-end or stabilize near current levels.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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