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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Jul 3

Jul 10

Jul 3

Jul 10

Up

49% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO

Up

49% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating sits near multi-month lows around 37-41% in recent aggregates, with net approval hovering between -18 and -22 amid persistent economic concerns including gas prices and living costs. Trader balance at 50% for an up or down move this week reflects mixed polling signals, including modest week-over-week gains in some tracking averages and isolated releases showing improvement to the mid-40s or higher among likely voters. Developments that could shift the weekly outcome include fresh national or partisan breakdowns from major pollsters, any visible movement in Iran-related diplomacy or economic indicators, and holiday-period sentiment effects around Independence Day. Historical patterns show approval can fluctuate several points on short-term news cycles even when underlying trends remain stable.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 3, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating sits near multi-month lows around 37-41% in recent aggregates, with net approval hovering between -18 and -22 amid persistent economic concerns including gas prices and living costs. Trader balance at 50% for an up or down move this week reflects mixed polling signals, including modest week-over-week gains in some tracking averages and isolated releases showing improvement to the mid-40s or higher among likely voters. Developments that could shift the weekly outcome include fresh national or partisan breakdowns from major pollsters, any visible movement in Iran-related diplomacy or economic indicators, and holiday-period sentiment effects around Independence Day. Historical patterns show approval can fluctuate several points on short-term news cycles even when underlying trends remain stable.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 10, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 3, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on July 10, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" ay isang araw-araw prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares kung ang presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? ay magtatapos na mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa opening price nito sa loob ng araw-araw window na tinukoy sa titulo. Ang kasalukuyang market probability ay 51% para sa "Down." Ang presyong 51% ay nangangahulugang kolektibong binibigyan ng market ng 51% na tsansa ang outcome na iyon. Nag-a-update ang mga presyo sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na mga pagbabago ng presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay maaaring i-redeem ng $1 bawat isa kapag nag-resolve ang market.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" ay isang aktibong short-term market sa Polymarket. Maaaring mabilis na mag-accumulate ang trading volume habang umuusad ang araw-araw window — pumasok agad para tumulong sa pagtakda ng odds bago magsara ang window na ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Trump approval Up or Down this week?," magdesisyon kung naniniwala ka na ang presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? sa tanghali ET ng July 10 ay magiging mas mataas ("Up") o mas mababa ("Down") kaysa sa presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? sa tanghali ET ng July 3. Bumili ng "Up" kung sa tingin mo tataas ang presyo araw-araw, o "Down" kung sa tingin mo bababa. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome sa resolution, nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1.00. Kung mali, ang mga share ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" ay 51% para sa "Down," na nangangahulugang ang Polymarket crowd ay kasalukuyang nagbibigay ng 51% na tsansa na ang presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? ay magtatapos na down sa araw-araw window na ito. Ang mga odds na ito ay nag-a-update sa real-time habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa live na price data ng Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Sa buong araw, ang odds ay sumasalamin sa nagbabagong sentiment habang nagbubukas ang price action ng araw. Bumalik nang madalas o mag-trade ngayon bago magsara ang window.

Ang "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" market ay nire-resolve batay sa paghahambing ng presyo ng Trump approval Up or Down this week? sa tanghali ET ng July 10 kumpara sa tanghali ET ng July 3, gamit ang Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. Kung mas mataas ang presyo sa July 10 sa tanghali, ang outcome ay "Up"; kung mas mababa, "Down"; kung pantay, ang market ay nire-resolve 50-50. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria at data source sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.