**Trader consensus centers on the USD/IRR free-market rate remaining near current levels around 2.3 million rials per dollar by end-September 2026, with the 2.2–2.5 million band priced at 64.5%.** Ongoing U.S. sanctions and a naval blockade in place since the February 2026 conflict have driven Iranian oil exports to near zero in recent months, sharply cutting foreign-currency inflows and widening the gap between official and parallel-market rates. This has sustained high inflation (near 70% or higher) and economic contraction, keeping downward pressure on the rial. Recent free-market quotes have hovered around 2.3 million IRR/USD with limited volatility in September, reflecting trader assessment that no major diplomatic breakthrough or export recovery is likely before month-end. Higher bands above 2.8 million remain low-probability absent further escalation, while sub-2.2 million outcomes would require rapid sanctions relief or de-escalation not currently signaled.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 9%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,556 Vol.
$27,556 Vol.
<2.2M
9%
2.2 to 2.5M
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
4%
3.1M+
1%
2.2 to 2.5M 65%
2.5 to 2.8M 20%
<2.2M 9%
2.8 to 3.1M 4.2%
$27,556 Vol.
$27,556 Vol.
<2.2M
9%
2.2 to 2.5M
65%
2.5 to 2.8M
20%
2.8 to 3.1M
4%
3.1M+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on the USD/IRR free-market rate remaining near current levels around 2.3 million rials per dollar by end-September 2026, with the 2.2–2.5 million band priced at 64.5%.** Ongoing U.S. sanctions and a naval blockade in place since the February 2026 conflict have driven Iranian oil exports to near zero in recent months, sharply cutting foreign-currency inflows and widening the gap between official and parallel-market rates. This has sustained high inflation (near 70% or higher) and economic contraction, keeping downward pressure on the rial. Recent free-market quotes have hovered around 2.3 million IRR/USD with limited volatility in September, reflecting trader assessment that no major diplomatic breakthrough or export recovery is likely before month-end. Higher bands above 2.8 million remain low-probability absent further escalation, while sub-2.2 million outcomes would require rapid sanctions relief or de-escalation not currently signaled.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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